From AV: The Great Decoupling Ultimately, I think this whole debate on wages, STEM, wealth inequality, and automation boils down to IQ. The decoupling is also obvious when comparing advanced degree employment and income versus those with only high school or ‘some college’. It’s also pronounced between majors, with STEM earning more. these trends have… Continue reading The Great Decoupling
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Marc Andreessen and Twitter
Marc Andreessen, who is perhaps the most important VC and forecaster right now, like more soft-spoken Peter Thiel, is correct about many things such as Web 2.0 not being a bubble and being skeptical of democracy. The later point agrees with the NRX (Neo Reaction) ideology, showing that one need not be directly affiliated with… Continue reading Marc Andreessen and Twitter
Bernanke is Right
He’s right: Bernanke sees no risk of hard landing in China, bullish on U.S. economy Not only does Bernanke deserve a standing ovation for saving the day in 2008 (along with Paulson and Bush), he’s right about the US economy still being fundamentally sound and about China not having a crash landing, as much as… Continue reading Bernanke is Right
Telling Fairy Tales To Spare Our Feelings
From Quora How can I be as great as Bill Gates, Steve Jobs, Elon Musk, and Richard Branson? Why can’t we have an honest debate about success and the role of IQ? Why do we need to lie to ourselves and then spread these lies to innocent victims, filling their heads with nonsense? Rhetorical question,… Continue reading Telling Fairy Tales To Spare Our Feelings
The Canonization of Dr. Nash
Yesterday, the Nobel Prize winning mathematician and economist John Nash Jr. and his wife died in a taxi accident. From the NY Times obituary: Receiving his bachelor’s and master’s degrees at Carnegie, he arrived at Princeton in 1948, a time of great expectations, when American children still dreamed of growing up to be physicists like… Continue reading The Canonization of Dr. Nash
Defending the EMH
Continuing on my first post about the efficient market hypothesis (EMH), I believe in a semi-strong version of the hypothesis, which allows for some opportunities to make profit through a process called fundamental drift. It would seem that the EMH’s biggest opponent are from the ‘right’ of the political spectrum (zerOh3dge and Market Ticker type… Continue reading Defending the EMH
Feeling Left Out?
The feeling of being ‘left out’ is something that one normally assumes applies to children and teens – you outgrow it as an adult, but the question, Do you feel like you’re missing out?, that I posed on Hacker Network apparently touched a nerve, as evidenced by all the replies: It seems like with all… Continue reading Feeling Left Out?
Uncomfortable Truths
IMHO, one of the most pressing problems in society is this inviolable, pervasive discomfort surrounding the topic of IQ, in that educators, parents, and policy makers can’t come to grip with the reality that individuals below a certain threshold of intelligence are either less valuable to society (everyone is not equal) and or it would… Continue reading Uncomfortable Truths
Everything Keeps Going Up
Aren’t we supposed to be in a bubble, says the media? Why does it refuse to pop? Whether it’s stock prices, web 2.0 valuations, China, or Bay Area real estate, the unending post-2008 asset boom continues with no end in sight. Those web 2.0 valuations keep rising, especially for companies valued at over $1 billion… Continue reading Everything Keeps Going Up
Ignore the News, Part 2
Many participants, however, thought it unlikely that the data available in June would provide sufficient confirmation that the conditions for raising the target range for the federal funds rate had been satisfied, although they generally did not rule out this possibility. This big story from Business Insider, as shown above, is that a fed rate… Continue reading Ignore the News, Part 2