The Case for Trump

The case for Trump. Why I'm voting for Kamala Harris. pic.twitter.com/WpRVWSGuPd — Richard Spencer (@RichardBSpencer) November 2, 2024 He inadvertently makes the case for Trump. Trump–love or hate him–as president will make the world safer by acting as a deterrent against war. Biden oversaw three major conflicts, those being Ukraine vs. Russia, Gaza vs. Israel,… Continue reading The Case for Trump

Academic-style writing persists because it works

Academic-style writing is characterized by defensive or hedging language, an abundance of citations, and being overly charitable to the opposing side by writing for the most skeptical reader in mind or anticipating objections. However, it’s criticized as being inauthentic or ambiguous. Or it reads as if the writer is prevaricating or beating around the bush… Continue reading Academic-style writing persists because it works

Why good writing is one of the hardest things ever

When one thinks of a hard subject, often what comes to mind are ‘STEM’ subjects, (e.g. math and physics), not the humanities, which are assumed to be more subjective and less rigorous. But such impreciseness also makes the humanities harder in some ways. Objectivity creates boundaries and rules, which can be generalized and repeated. A… Continue reading Why good writing is one of the hardest things ever

The Daily View, 10/26/2024: DOJ Tether Investigation, Tesla surges, Elon + Trump, DJT stock, GLP-1 drugs

This week was especially eventful. Item #1: Bitcoin crashes intraday on Friday on news of a possible DOJ investigation into Tether: As you can see, BTC crashed. My bitcoin shorting method specifically shorts Bitcoin when the stock market is open. This takes advantage of the tendency of whales to liquidate, and for bad news or… Continue reading The Daily View, 10/26/2024: DOJ Tether Investigation, Tesla surges, Elon + Trump, DJT stock, GLP-1 drugs

Americans have less vacation time, but so what

Inspired by the above exchange between Scott Alexander and a commenter on the former’s blog, a common argument I see is that Americans are overworked and have little vacation time compared to Europeans. Indeed, Americans have fewer holidays compared to Europeans and take fewer days off: As the narrative goes, this makes Americans more depressed… Continue reading Americans have less vacation time, but so what

Prediction market prices are more useful than polls, but not quite probabilities either

It’s nice to see social media bringing out the best in people. There has been a lot of talk in recent weeks about prediction markets–either prediction markets inflating the suggested odds of extremely improbable candidates–or whales purportedly manipulating certain markets, such as contracts tied to Trump winning. Or the apparent disconnect between prediction market prices… Continue reading Prediction market prices are more useful than polls, but not quite probabilities either