The Trump surge continues…his odds as of 11/3/2016 are 35% on 538, a gain of 20% in little over a week. And he’s taken small polling leads in Ohio, North Carolina, and Florida whereas last week Hillary was ahead in those states. The general consensus seems to be if Trump wins, the market will fall..the… Continue reading Election Outcomes and Market Response
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No, a Trump victory will not doom the US economy and stock market
A recession is the confluence of many factors that converge at roughly the same time. Trump being inaugurated will not suddenly cause producers to stop producing, consumers to stop consuming, and manufactures to stop manufacturing. Similarly, Britain leaving the EU in June of 2016 didn’t cause economic activity to suddenly stall, contrary to the predictions… Continue reading No, a Trump victory will not doom the US economy and stock market
Trump as Nixon
Although NRx rejects the democratic political process, it’s still pretty funny watching the hildlabeast crash and burn into the finish line. Last week I wrote that Hillary’s odds were too high and that Trump would overcome the Access Hollywood tape and mediocre debate performances, because his supporters, unlike SJWs, don’t care about that stuff –… Continue reading Trump as Nixon
The Gender Gap in Extreme Math Intelligence
In tests of extreme math intelligence, boys still outscore girls in the US but the gap is closing fast Whether this is because boys are innately better at math or if girls are socially conditioned not to be math superstars remains an open question. But the latest round of test data strongly suggests the difference… Continue reading The Gender Gap in Extreme Math Intelligence
Hillary’s 12 point lead shrinks down to just ONE POINT
November 8th cannot come soon enough as the Hillary campaign watches its lead, once as high as 12 points, evaporate to just two: And this was before the Friday email story, so it’s possible Trump may be ahead by a few points by now. Nine days is an eternity in an election this close and… Continue reading Hillary’s 12 point lead shrinks down to just ONE POINT
Clinton crashing and burning as vote nears
Last week I warned that the left was prematurely declaring victory for Hillary, and now the tables have turned as Trump gains in polls and email news surfaces. I bet Hillary wishes the election were last week…at the rate her campaign is imploding, she may not make it. The wheels are coming of the bus… Continue reading Clinton crashing and burning as vote nears
Corrupt Democracies
This story is going viral: Europe’s traditional left is in a death spiral. Even if you don’t like the left, this is a problem The entire article can be read here The decline of the center-left has contributed to Europe’s contemporary economic and political problems and hindered finding viable solutions to them. The left is… Continue reading Corrupt Democracies
Michael Moore Endorses Trump?
There’s a viral video going around by Michael Moore about why Donald Trump will win, almost as an endorsement: It’s funny how this is the same Michael Moore who did this: Michael Moore like any politician will change his tune when the timing is right. He has a point though. Since the early 80’s, the… Continue reading Michael Moore Endorses Trump?
Despite indoctrination, a college degree may still be the best path out of poverty
From Washington Post: Poor kids who do everything right don’t do better than rich kids who do everything wrong I had to double-check because the chart seems to contradicts the author’s thesis that the American meritocracy is dead and that upward mobility is impossible. It doesn’t look so bad when you consider that 67% of… Continue reading Despite indoctrination, a college degree may still be the best path out of poverty
Why Post-Election Revolt and Crisis is Unlikely, Part 2
In an earlier post, I argued that the outcome of the 2016 US presidential election would likely not lead to national upheaval, but I want to expand on it. As the Great Depression showed, economic crisis does not necessarily lead to revolt. But historically speaking, revolt generally occurs during periods of extreme economic disruption and… Continue reading Why Post-Election Revolt and Crisis is Unlikely, Part 2