Category: Uncategorized

Donald Trump won in 2016 by focusing on economics and immigration–and in spite of ignoring or relegating ‘culture war’ issues such as abortion, drug legalization, gay marriage, or the ‘separation of church and state’ to the back burner–consistently maintained a very approval rating among conservatives, at around 90-95% approval, even after leaving office. This suggests… Continue reading Reversals between the ‘left’ and the ‘right’

Vox Day sorta admits he was wrong. What happened to ‘trust the plan?’ As I correctly predicted last year, there was no plan. If Trump could not stop BLM and antifa protestors from burning cities, except tweeting for law and order, what hope was there of overturning an election? I still don’t understand why President… Continue reading So much for that, and about alt-tech

From Eric Weinstein How about this: all platforms had *zero* rights to take down such posts in the first place, and all that did need to be broken up by the US government. A publisher may have such rights but a platform doesn’t get to spread politically motivated pseudoscience via such censorship. https://t.co/mVBgVDLqac — Eric… Continue reading The era of antitrust is over, and selective enforcement of rules

Respect should be irreverent when evaluating the intellectual worthiness or lack thereof of someone’s argument. But I find myself relinquishing what little I had for Nathan J. Robinson of Current Affairs, who published this howler We Don’t Know Our Potential, in response to Fredrik deBoer’s book, The Cult of Smart. His whole argument is effectively… Continue reading We Don’t Know Our Potential (Nathan J. Robinson essay)

In the comments, someone asked my opinion about real estate. As I have been predicting since I started the blog (for example, a post from 2015 in which I predicted Bay Area home prices would go higher, and gave a list of reasons, which they have, and that was even after they had surged in… Continue reading Real Estate Update: Still right after all these years

A couple weeks ago I said that stocks are better than crypto, showing how the large-cap tech portfolio (Facebook, Amazon, Microsoft, PayPal, Google, etc.) has superior risk-adjusted returns compared to Bitcoin. Lo and behold , Bitcoin has fallen 25% since that post. Ethereum has fallen in half. Being a good investor is not about knowing… Continue reading Bitcoin is No Threat to the US Hegemony

Covid, the Capitol protests, and BLM/antifa defined 2020 and the first month of 2021. But things have slowed down over the past few months. Cities are no longer burning, with BLM back in hibernation. The world isn’t falling apart, as many predicted if Biden won. CPI being 4% is a long way from hyperinflation spite… Continue reading The Age of Kayfabe

Last week Elon Musk shook the world of crypto and investing by announcing that Tesla would no longer accept Bitcoin. In terms of coverage and newsworthiness, this matched even stories about Biden in significance. Consequently, Bitcoin and Tesla fell, and this prompted debate and talk about Elon Musk having too much influence, and how much… Continue reading Elon Musk and the Fall of Institutions

Over the past week there has been endless teeth-gnashing by the financial media and political hacks about ‘8 million unfilled jobs’ or ‘businesses being unable to fill jobs’, as if this is a crisis or abnormal. The common narrative is that stimulus spending or laziness is to blame for unfilled jobs, instead of another major… Continue reading The 8 million jobs openings, hype vs. reality

Microstrategy down 6% to $488, down $300 since I predicted that it could go bankrupt (or at least be forced to raise a ton of capital at very unfavorable rates) if bitcoin falls to $10k, destroying considerable shareholder equity. The cards are falling. Despite Bitcoin being down 28% from its highs, MSTR is down over… Continue reading Microstrategy’s Macro-Sized Losses