Month: June 2026

In “The rise of the lock-in guy,” I discuss the phenomenon of people who are smart, but this is not evident until later in life, when special circumstances align. It’s not the same as unrecognized genius. Such genius is apparent to others in childhood, but it doesn’t manifest as anything outwardly special. Unlike chess, music,… Continue reading Why Some Smart People Appear Ordinary Until Adulthood

From Freddie deBoer, You Can and Should Blame Young People When They Act Like Lazy Cheaters, Actually. His article went massively viral, with 600 “likes,” so clearly it resonated with many people. But here, imho, he comes off as out of touch or a ladder-puller, having already succeeded at life and is now admonishing “today’s… Continue reading Freddie’s gatekeeping

Item 1: IQ and biases This is addressed to the people who post about IQ asserting as well-known facts that IQ tests are culturally biased, or don't measure anything but how to take IQ tests, or can be coached, or are affected by socioeconomic status. The list seems endless. I've got news for you.… —… Continue reading The daily view 6/5/2026: IQ, Berkeley math, Affordability, AI and Jobs, AI Bubble…

It’s commonly assumed that forecasting–especially as it pertains to economics, geopolitics, or finance–ranges from hard to impossible, owing to the claimed unpredictability of human behavior. You’ll often see books, articles, and TED talks by “experts” about how people act unpredictably or irrationally, so one may be inclined to think it’s hopeless trying to make predictions.… Continue reading Why human behavior is not as unpredictable/random as assumed

Just 5 months into 2026 is going down as my most accurate and profitable year ever. I’m firing on all cylinders here, profiting from Shorting Bitcoin, tech stocks surging, and Polymarket. Item #1: Bitcoin continues to fall, now below $67,000 in otherwise flat or rising market. Yet again, I was right here, here and here.… Continue reading The Daily View 6/2/2026: Bitcoin crashes, Iran, Job Openings