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Revisiting Correct Predictions

How is it possible a small blog has a more accurate and longer running track record than professional pundits, with their adulation, media appearances, and books? Looking back through the post archives, with few exceptions, all of our predictions came true. This is because we only care about the hard economic data and, secondly, the… Continue reading Revisiting Correct Predictions

Why Grey Enlightenment?

The Grey Enlightenment represents republicans and libertarians that don’t think the world is doomed and like things the way they are (but with some improvements like lower taxes and no more Obama). In other words, we’re pragmatic, empirically minded people. We don’t subscribe to doomsday arguments because the economic data doesn’t support it. In agreement… Continue reading Why Grey Enlightenment?

How to blow $1 million (when cryptocurrency meets hubris)

A common argument is that rich people can buy their way to success. I have argued that commentators, on either side of the aisle, overestimate the importance or conversion rate of money into influence. Money is necessary for tangible things, such as houses and cars. It’s not so great for buying a legacy, intellectual credibility,… Continue reading How to blow $1 million (when cryptocurrency meets hubris)

Why Ethereum (ETH) is dying

Yesterday, gave an optimistic forecast for Tesla, but reiterate my negative forecast for Ethereum (ETH), which as of 5/4/2019 is still the second biggest cryptocurrency with a market cap of around $17.5 billion, followed by Ripple (XRP). The ETH/BTC ratio now at .028, which is close to new lows. 6 months ago, I said to… Continue reading Why Ethereum (ETH) is dying

The Downfall of Milo and the Rise of the Alt-Middle/Center

View this post on Instagram So begins little Benji’s attempt to get Trump out of office A post shared by MILO (@milo.yiannopoulos) on Apr 8, 2019 at 10:37am PDT Milo is trying to signal how he’s more ‘right-wing than thou’, but all he’s showing is his obsolescence as a public figure who is fading from… Continue reading The Downfall of Milo and the Rise of the Alt-Middle/Center

The end of liberal democracy and the American hegemony? hardly

From Unz: Trump’s Brilliant Strategy to Dismember U.S. Dollar Hegemony This break has been building for quite some time, and was bound to occur. But who would have thought that Donald Trump would become the catalytic agent? No left-wing party, no socialist, anarchist or foreign nationalist leader anywhere in the world could have achieved what… Continue reading The end of liberal democracy and the American hegemony? hardly

Notes on Trump and Policy

From Mark Manson 6 THINGS PEOPLE SHOULD GIVE FEWER FUCKS ABOUT I think the most contentious position one can have in the US right now is that Trump isn’t really that big of a deal. That’s because most people on the left think he’s the second coming of Hitler/Stalin/Satan/Apollo Creed and is going to start… Continue reading Notes on Trump and Policy