Consider Altcoins

It’s pretty amazing how quickly the Bitcoin tides have changed. Just two weeks ago, with prices close to $20,000, Bitcoin seemed unstoppable, but prices have now fallen 35% and cannot get up. “$30 transaction fees?” “You fool, you don’t buy a cup of coffee with Bitcoin. It’s gold. You are supposed to hold it.” I… Continue reading Consider Altcoins

Megan McArdle is Wrong About Bitcoin

Megan McArdle’s latest article Bitcoin Is an Implausible Currency has generated significant discussion, with over 700 comments as of 1/2/2018. At this point, there is no question that Bitcoin has entered the ‘mainstream’, and there are more people who know what Bitcoin is than don’t. She writes: It’s not competitive as a payment system, so… Continue reading Megan McArdle is Wrong About Bitcoin

Criticism of the five-factor (big five) model of personality

The goal of a theory is to explain past and current phenomena, to predict the future, and also to make generalizations. Theories in ‘hard’ sciences, such as the theory of relativity and quantum theory, are useful and supported by tests. My criticism is directed at the five-factor (big five) model of personality, which is an… Continue reading Criticism of the five-factor (big five) model of personality

Alt coin trading strategy guide

As part of my 2018 resolution, there will be fewer posts about topical subjects, such as news, which tends to be repetitive and the outcome predictable or immatertial, and more about stuff that I find more interesting. It’s unlikely anyone buying Bitcoin today is going to get rich. Yes, some say Bitcoin will be worth… Continue reading Alt coin trading strategy guide

Tuning out of the news cycle

From Vox: On opioids, the White House keeps talking and planning — but not doing anything of significance Yeah, like a crisis that is decades in the making can be fixed in 2 months. Maybe Trump will get to it in 2018. Not exactly sure what that would entail, since undoing deep, long-standing structural and… Continue reading Tuning out of the news cycle

Empiricism , Time Preference, and Economics

Math and religion are framed by the left as being diametrically opposed, but both are attempts to explains things that do not readily yield themselves to the senses and immediate understanding and gratification. The third option, empiricism, is most closely linked with tribalism and primitivism and involves neither intellectualism nor religion, and seeks instant gratification.… Continue reading Empiricism , Time Preference, and Economics

2017: the year in review

2017 was an amazing year–if not surreal–in terms of stock market and Bitcoin gains. It was like every week making thousands doing nothing. As mentioned earlier, I expect the stock market to continue its surge in 2018, but am less optimistic about Bitcoin and other currencies, and that’s why I sold some Bitcoin two weeks… Continue reading 2017: the year in review

Nassim Tooleb Twitter: Best of

Many people turn to stand-up comedy for amusement. I read Nassim Taleb’s Twitter, which is an never-ending trainwreck of hilarity and stupidity: BITCOIN, 2 points: + Returns are not additive at high volatility: Something that is up 1000% then down 90% is net breaking even.+ Do not read accounts in papers about "causes". At high… Continue reading Nassim Tooleb Twitter: Best of