Trump Keeps Winning

Love or hate him, Trump has a knack for winning. I have never seen someone, except for maybe Mark Zuckerberg, who keeps consistently coming out on top no matter what is thrown at him. It’s like it initially seems like he’s in trouble, and then either nothing happens or he gets his way. The same cannot be said for his followers, lawyers, and consultants who have a tendency of being arrested, but Trump is always above it all. And not only that, comes out in a stronger position. It’s like Taleb’s anti-fragile concept.

This is part of the reason why I don’t cover Trump news much, because there is no staying power or stickiness to these stories, so it’s not even worth the effort. Or it’s already a foregone conclusion Trump will be unscathed.

The DWAC merger is complete. The stock is at $60, a 150% gain from a month ago, and 6x overall. The timing could not have been better. Just as Trump finds himself facing a major fiscal shortfall, he stands to make 5-6 billion from his media company going public.

Former President Trump is on the verge of a windfall of billions of dollars — but it may not come soon enough to help him fend off his mounting legal problems. Trump stands to make over $3 billion as the company behind his social media platform Truth Social — Trump Media and Technology Group — goes public

This makes Trump’s net worth the highest ever. His children will carry on the Trump legacy and empire leveraging the Trump brand and likeness.

Speaking of which, the $400 million bond was reduced to $175 million on appeals: another win.

Same for avoiding arrest for Jan 6th. Trump didn’t lunge for the steering wheel as originally falsely claimed in the 2022 testimony by Ms. Hutchinson.

“The president was insistent on going to the Capitol,” recounted the driver, whose name was not disclosed. “It was clear to me he wanted to go to the Capitol. He was not screaming at Mr. Engel. He was not screaming at me. Certainly his voice was raised, but it did not seem to me that he was irate — certainly not, certainly didn’t seem as irritated or agitated as he had on the way to the Ellipse.”

But, the driver said, Mr. Trump never lunged for the steering wheel or physically accosted the agents, contradicting one of the most sensational and hotly disputed elements of testimony given to the House Jan. 6 committee by a White House aide. The transcript of the driver is the first extensive eyewitness account of what happened in the armored vehicle to be made public.

Same for the Mar-a-Lago raid in 2022, which I correctly predicted nothing would come of it. Or Trump being booked at the Fulton County jail in 2023, which also went nowhere. Or Trump’s Supreme Court win that kept him on the ballot in Colorado.

And his biggest win of all: effortlessly securing the 2024 GOP nomination. He not only won, which was a foregone conclusion, but so overwhelmingly that he rewrote the playbook of GOP politics, likely ensuring a promising political future for his children or candidates who have Trump-like attributes. Trump became the yardstick or benchmark for which future GOP candidates are measured against.

The fealty for Trump runs deeper than any candidate in recent American history. To incarcerate him and prevent him from running could conceivably open the door to major civil unrest. Jan 6th clearly showed that people are willing to risk arrest, even death, in support of Trump. The safer option is to charge and convict him of various small or inconsequential crimes, but not actually sentence him or carry out a full trial. Hence justice is served, but not completed.

After the Mar-a-Lago raid many conservative pundits were certain Trump would be arrested and prevented from running in 2024, yet I was correct again in predicting nothing would happen. The left can try to make Trump’s personal life miserable by charging him with various crimes and trying to take his money away, but to actually prevent him from running could break the country apart, a view also shared by former Obama advisor David Axelrod , which is a bridge no one wants to cross.

Trump is smart enough to get close to the edge of breaking the law but never crossing the line. He intoned maybe that the election was rigged or unfair, but did not do any more than grunt and complain about it. Contrary to media fears that he would not leave if he lost, Trump dutifully vacated the office on the noon of January 20th, 2021, as constitutionally required of him.

Regarding his business dealings, he keeps it local in NYC instead of crossing state lines where it would be federal (the FBI have way more resources compared to police). Individuals and businesses who do business with Trump know him and are in physically close proximity to him, so it’s more like they are cognizant of the risks and knowingly take them, as opposed to Trump defrauding some grandma across state lines, which may get the feds involved. Trump does not defraud people per se, but it’s more like uses every legally permissible route to ensure the best outcome for him.