In October 2023 there was a popular media narrative that GLP-1 drugs, namely Ozempic and Zepbound/Mounjaro, would severely hurt the sales of McDonald’s and Walmart, with alarmist headlines such as “Ozempic, Wegovy dampening food sales, Walmart exec says“. I took the opposite side, arguing such fears were overblown, here and here. Two years later, the… Continue reading Update on weight-loss drug predictions: right again

Item #1: Bitcoin dies as ‘Crypto President’ narrative turns into disillusionment. From the WSJ: It Was Supposed to Be Crypto’s Year. Then Came the Crash. And as Paul Krugman also noted, the Trump trade is unraveling. Today Bitcoin is still crashing this morning, down 7% while the market is flat or only down a little.… Continue reading The Daily View 12/1/2025: Bitcoin collapse, AI bubble, Weight Loss Challenge

Yet another tweet going viral about ‘repeat violent offenders’: ELON: REPEAT VIOLENT OFFENDERS NEED TO BE INCARCERATED “We do have a serious issue in America, where repeat violent offenders need to be incarcerated. You've got cases where somebody's been arrested 47 times. That's just the number of times they were arrested, not the number… https://t.co/F0Dbi01tzS… Continue reading It’s time to treat serious ‘state crimes’ as federal crimes

I saw this tweet going viral We had a generational mandate. Trump chose to squander it on foreign policy. And he hasn't even solved anything. These conflicts could erupt any moment, or during his impeachment trials after Democrats win the midterms. — Cernovich (@Cernovich) November 24, 2025 This is what I mean when I say,… Continue reading No one has any power

On Sunday, Charles Murray tweeted about Nick Fuentes’ livestream: Add another 35 minutes onto my Fuentes Exposure. Reactions:1. From the beginning through 07:40, I agreed with everything he said, which explains Fuentes' popularity: Many of the problems he excoriates are real.2. Starting at 7:40, the indictment became indiscriminate. The… https://t.co/lOF9fkocMx — Charles Murray (@charlesmurray) November… Continue reading A Heuristic for Preventing Information Overload

In 2021, I published “Characteristics of Good and Bad Opinions”. And in 2019, “On Having Good Opinions (deconstructing Joe Rogan’s success)“. I updated the first post significantly for 2025. It’s one of the longest posts here—at over 7,200 words—owing to the broad nature of the topic: What separates good opinions from bad opinions in the… Continue reading Organic virality vs. astroturfing

The Bitcoin collapse continues, plunging to $80k–a nearly 38% decline from the highs. As I am fond of saying, it looks like I was right again. This guy’s tweet echoes what I have been saying: Get Trump to attend a Bitcoin conference. Promise a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. After becoming president, launch a Trump memecoin instead.… Continue reading Bitcoin’s collapse continues…

I noticed this going viral: Emil O.W. Kirkegaard has published the November 17 update of his national IQ database with the latest scores. Parra & Kirkegaard 2025 just published an update on national IQs, along with robustness tests. Results shown below: pic.twitter.com/QTk75KrQqu — Meng Hu (@MengHu13) November 17, 2025 As the tweet and related ones… Continue reading Why the US has done so well despite mediocre ‘national IQ’

The denouement of the Reagan-Bush era, as I define as the roughly 30 year period beginning with the inauguration of Ronald Reagan and ending in 2009, saw the subsequent decline of the ‘old guard’ of conservatism. George W. Bush left office with the lowest approval rating of an exiting president at 25%–a new low compared… Continue reading The Rise of the Vibes-Based Right

I want to give my statement on 50-year mortgages before this topic vanishes from the headlines altogether, like Elon Musk’s’ Grok-powered ‘Wikipedia alternative’, which 2 weeks later hardly anyone talks about anymore despite an initial avalanche of media coverage. As it turns out, it is easier to promise to build the next Wikipedia than to… Continue reading 50-year mortgages are probably not that bad