Category: Uncategorized

Interesting post from Richard Hanania, “Sixteen Fun Facts about Me.” It’s too bad the article is paywalled after his fourth “fact,” but some parts are similar to or contrast with my own life. I don’t have much contact with my family, and haven’t maintained contact with any friends from elementary school, high school, or college.… Continue reading The TV Addict Who Became a Macro Forecaster

I have been thinking why UBI and single-payer healthcare is totally unworkable in America. With fears of AI leading to mass-unemployment constantly in the news, the idea of a UBI is often touted as a solution. Democrats similarly have pushed for wealth taxes and universal healthcare, and neither have made much ground. A California wealth… Continue reading Why we cannot have nice things

I saw this going viral, Democrats rail against corruption after Trump financial disclosure: Democrats are accusing President Trump of improperly profiting from his and his family’s cryptocurrency ventures after he reported more than $1 billion in income tied to the industry. In his annual financial disclosure released Tuesday, Trump revealed about $594 million in income… Continue reading Trump Profiting from Crypto Is Not Corruption

Up until the early 2000s, even though Americans were less obese compared to today, it was implicitly understood that fitness/health-minded people occupied a sort of celebrity status or were different from the slovenly masses, who went to work and then crashed in front of the TV after getting home, eating whatever slop could be scrounged… Continue reading The Gospel of Gains: How Fitness Culture Went Mainstream

The fear of “AI obsoleting mathematicians” has become another obsession by the media over the past 2 years, along with everything else AI related, with new headlines appearing every week: For example, this article recently went viral, “What it Means to Be a Mathematician When AI Does the Math?” Like the rest of academia, mathematics… Continue reading AI is not going to make mathematicians obsolete

Bitcoin has finally plunged to $58,000. This will go down as one of my greatest forecasts ever, if not the greatest. I was the only person, back in 2025 when it was at >$100,000, who predicted there would be no BTC reserve, whilst also recommending shorting Bitcoin a a hedge against tech stocks. The latest… Continue reading The Daily View 6/25/2026: Bitcoin @$58k, MicroStrategy collapse, Reflecting pool, AI…

Most of the criticisms and rebuttals in this post are applicable to before 2024. By 2025, GLP-1 weight-loss drugs had become thoroughly mainstream and many skeptics have come around to the fact that these drugs are highly effective and that the side effects are manageable. But with the upcoming FDA approval of the potent triple-agonist… Continue reading The Weight-Loss Revolution People Didn’t Want

It’s often assumed, on either side of the aisle, billionaires wield too much influence on society, or seek to subvert democratic systems if their power or ambitions are left unchecked. There is a fear that billionaires aim to reshape society to reflect their values. In actuality, their plans for social control tend to range from… Continue reading The Surprisingly Small Ambitions of Billionaires

Here we go again: US-Iran talks postponed as Israel launches deadly strikes in Lebanon. I have long said there cannot be a “deal”, as the impossibility of either side acceding to the other’s demands precludes agreement. The odds of a compromise that finds a middle ground between the interests of Iran, Israel, and the US… Continue reading The Iran Deal That Won’t Happen

I saw this going viral, from New York Magazine: Gifted and Talented, or G&T, programs have long been a perennial subject of debate, particularly in New York City, where it has bedeviled mayors for years. Some parents have already washed their hands of the whole G&T business, refusing to participate in what they view as… Continue reading Why Eminence Is a Bad Measure of Intelligence