Small Signs of Collpase

The divergence between stocks and bitcoin keeps widening, which I predicted months ago. The S&P 500 makes new highs every week now, also as I predicted. Anyway, saw this post go viral The Subreddit /r/Collapse Has Become the Doomscrolling Capital of the Internet. Can Its Users Break Free? Regardless politics, both sides seem to be… Continue reading Small Signs of Collpase

So much for that, part 5

A common narrative was that even though Trump had not accomplished much in terms of policy, he had appointed ‘hundreds of judges’ that would reverse the tide of liberalism and the left. Facebook antitrust lawsuits ‘legally insufficient,’ rules judge A federal judge on Monday dismissed antitrust lawsuits brought against Facebook by the Federal Trade Commission… Continue reading So much for that, part 5

Fighting the Entropy of Status

Education Week: Educational Assessments are Valid, Reliable, and Remarkably Predictive To put it simply: liberal skepticism towards educational assessment is totally unjustifiable through reference to the evidence. Liberals speak with utter confidence about the supposed lack of predictive validity of these instruments but present no evidence whatsoever to back up these claims. They constantly repeat… Continue reading Fighting the Entropy of Status

Are Lopsided Elections the Solution to Political Polarization in the U.S.?

It’s not news that Americans are increasingly divided along party lines. Democrats and republicans may as well be entirely different species, let alone disagreeing on issues. But why is this? 538 notes that there is is very little crossover support between parties, meaning that republicans and democrats more strongly than ever disapprove of their respective… Continue reading Are Lopsided Elections the Solution to Political Polarization in the U.S.?

What happend with John McAfee

A few days ago, John McAfee’s lifeless body was found hanging from the rafters of his prison cell. This prompted considerable speculation online, similar to Epstein, that he was killed. Eric Weinstein yesterday was also pushing the Epstein-McAfee conspiracy theory. Given Eric’s dubious credibility, such as hyping a ‘theory of everything’ which for almost a… Continue reading What happend with John McAfee

Can Ideas Be Suppressed? Probably

The article You Can’t Censor Away Extremism (or Any Other Problem) went hugely viral. He writes: Germany has arguably the most aggressive anti-hate speech etc. laws in the world, or at least outside of those authoritarian countries that already significantly restrict speech in general. The concept is called Volksverhetzung, or incitement to hatred, and it… Continue reading Can Ideas Be Suppressed? Probably

Vox Day Ranting About The Boomers

Vox Day for the past month has been ranting especially hard about ‘the boomers’. His disdain for the boomers seems sorta misplaced given that America was already well on its trajectory of its current cultural demise at least a decade before the boomers came of age. Perhaps because the generation that preceded the boomers–the silent… Continue reading Vox Day Ranting About The Boomers

Covid, Forecasting, and the Problem with the Precautionary Principle

I came across this My Final Case Against Superforecasting Although the post is a year old and a lot has transpired regarding Covid since, it’s still interesting and relevant. The author argues that superforecasters overlook the ‘keys’ that are in the dark, only focusing on easy predictions (the keys under the streetlight): All of this… Continue reading Covid, Forecasting, and the Problem with the Precautionary Principle