Category: Uncategorized

Similar to ‘dead internet theory’, the declaration that society has entered ‘peak woke’ or that ‘wokeness has peaked’ is a hotly debated topic. The latest in this installment is Paul Graham’s hugely viral article The Origins of Wokeness, in which he declares wokeness peaked in 2020-2021, singling out the excesses of 2020 that culminated with… Continue reading Peak woke, part 1

I saw this going viral: Wolfram’s recent study on the IQ of 360 professions indicated the average IQ of tech careers was around 110. I don’t recall any being over 120 and some were close to 100. So, it isn’t the case that tech companies are staffing themselves with literal geniuses. There is no… pic.twitter.com/nXibVsFrYr… Continue reading UK data is unhelpful when trying to draw inferences to US employers/job market

I've met a lot of really smart people & I've never met a single one who wasn't aggressively wrong about something that a much dumber person could have explained to him People are finite & pretty small relative to the systems they try to apprehend https://t.co/pHWhoWwRH4 — Bennett's Phylactery (@extradeadjcb) January 7, 2025 Regarding the… Continue reading Enough with the folk wisdom about IQ

I am rolling some of my Bitcoin short profits today into additional “NO” contracts at 30-34 cents on Polymarket for Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? A 30% return in 3 months works out to an effective 190% annual return. The fact Trump did not mention Bitcoin or crypto anywhere in a… Continue reading No mention of ‘crypto reserve’ in Jan 5th 2025 Trump tweet

It looks like I was right in predicting that the H-1b visa thing would blow over. It has already been overtaken by discussion about the UK and Canada, that being Trudeau resigning and Elon’s involvement in UK politics. As predicted, Elon rebounded from the H-1b controversy unscathed and stronger than ever, and even sooner than… Continue reading Thoughts about the woke-right

The first Daily View of 2025. Item #1: Polymarket gives 23% odds of Trump creating a national crypto reserve in his first 100 days. Betting “no” is like picking up dollars on the sidewalk. I have already placed bets on this contract, expecting to earn an easy 20% in the next 100 days as nothing… Continue reading The daily view 1/3/2025: Bitcoin and Polymarket, Stocks overvalued?, Elon on Mounjaro…

Jimmy Carter died. Many of the critiques of his presidency come off as circular, e.g. “Jimmy Carter was bad because the economy was bad,” which although true, does not necessarily implicate Carter. The ’70s were sluggish due to many factors: high commodity prices due to Middle East conflict and embargoes, high inflation due to oil,… Continue reading 2025 predictions, and recap of 2024

Twitter/X and Substack accounts are up: Substack Twitter Twitter heavily censors new accounts. I will mainly use Twitter and Substack for posting links to the blog, as I find blogging to be a more effective medium for expressing ideas, although I may tweet replies. The H-1B visa controversy is the biggest story now, overtaking Luigi… Continue reading More thoughts on the H-1B visa situation

The topic of immigration and Indians has blown up over the past few days. I dunno who got the ball rolling on this, but I suspect it started with Trump’s inside team, e.g. David Sachs, Elon Musk, and Vivek Ramaswamy pushing this narrative of a ‘talent/worker shortage’. This has led to various heated exchanges between… Continue reading The Trump-Tech Immigration Rift

Interesting post by Richard Hanania, Why Are Americans So Rich? Americans have been blessed in terms of both culture and policy. We have a common language, and the cultural differences between various parts of the country are relatively small. Moreover, while Europe has done a good job of creating an integrated single market for goods,… Continue reading Why America is So Successful (and Wealthy) Compared to the Rest of the World