Month: July 2025

An excellent post by Scott Greer, Misunderstanding The MAGA Base. This echoes my sentiments exactly: While the MAGA base is interested in the Epstein case, these folks aren’t ready to turn on Trump over it. Polls show Republicans sticking with Trump, even if they’re not happy with how the Epstein case was handled. It’s not… Continue reading Scott Greer is right about the MAGA base not turning on Trump about Iran or Epstein

To recap, during the ’90s, Epstein was at the center of a large social circle of well-connected people, such as businessmen and some academics. He also, along with associate/friend Ghislaine Maxwell, engaged in child trafficking. He also had a predilection for younger women. It’s possible some of his guests who accompanied him on his plane… Continue reading Why there will be no full transparency on Epstein

This is going massively viral “OpenAI claims gold-medal performance at IMO 2025”. 1/N I’m excited to share that our latest @OpenAI experimental reasoning LLM has achieved a longstanding grand challenge in AI: gold medal-level performance on the world’s most prestigious math competition—the International Math Olympiad (IMO). pic.twitter.com/SG3k6EknaC — Alexander Wei (@alexwei_) July 19, 2025 There… Continue reading OpenAI claims gold-medal performance at IMO 2025

Yesterday, a Bitcoin whale offloaded $8 billion of Bitcoin to Galaxy Digital. This has significant implications, all negative, even though the ‘crypto media’ is trying to spin it as a positive. How is increasing the supply ever a positive? Why else are stock buybacks bullish? Because they reduce the supply. Conversely, stock offerings are a… Continue reading The bad news for Bitcoin: far fewer coins are lost than assumed

From Garry Taubes, The Curious Lessons of Calorie Restriction, in which he contrasts his ad libitum low-carb approach to Peter Attia. He writes: Where Peter and I diverge in our thinking in this case is on a simple but critical point: when carbohydrate-restricted diets are prescribed for weight loss—i.e., a version of DR, by Peter’s… Continue reading Garry Taubes is wrong: low-carb is not superior for weight loss

A common argument is that AI will make smart people redundant, as their jobs are replaced or AI outperform them. I disagree. AI does not change this or devalue IQ. As I argued last week, AI will only amplify differences of human capital. Smarter people will be able to use AI more effectively to increase… Continue reading AI as a force multiplier

The big story is the Trump administration’s reversal and denial of the Epstein list. Last night, Trump put out an incoherent rant telling people to ignore Epstein, generating confusion and anger among some of his online “supporters”, which I add in quotes because I also believe some of this controversy is part of a demoralization… Continue reading Trump’s Epstein Reversal

I saw this Reddit post going massively viral, ““Fast metabolism” is a lie, stop making yourself feel bad.” It got 1829 votes and 288 comments, indicative of considerable discussion and controvery. As I wrote in the posts “Individual differences of metabolism are real and matter” and “Slow metabolisms are not a myth“, to deny that… Continue reading Fast or slow metabolisms are not a “lie”. It’s time to put this myth to rest.

I saw this viral post by Dwarkesh Patel, “Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner.” This is a reasonable take on AI, in contrast to the hype that is typical of the topic. There is a middle ground of people, such as myself and Freddie deBoer, who believe AI will lead to… Continue reading Why everyone is probably wrong about AI

Elon’s political party “America party” is official: There are several possibilities: 1. Elon does not actually understand how electoral politics works. I see this as unlikely given his experience with politics under Trump. 2. Elon knows his party will split the vote, but does not care. 3. Elon hopes to cost Trump’s successor reelection, as… Continue reading Elon’s “America party” : my thoughts