May 29th, 2026: Trump to decide imminently on Iran deal.
Every week it’s another “imminent deal”. We saw this last week, too, only for nothing to happen. As I correctly predicted last week on the 25th, when there was yet again another “imminent deal,” it fell through, as I wrote:
It’s the same pattern we’ve seen for the past 3 months. There is not going to be any sort of “deal” because neither side can possibly agree to each other’s terms.
Here is Trump again, on the 29th of May, when a deal is supposed to be “close” demanding “unrestricted shipping” in the Strait of Hurmuz. It’s a broken record. As I said before, either side cannot cannot possibly agree to each other’s terms. Iran will not relinquish control of the strait or its nuclear program. Trump will always defer to Israel’s judgment first. An ultimatum is not a deal, so of course failure is the inevitable outcome.
Even if a deal was reached, it will likely be short-lived, before both sides return to threats, accusations of either side breaking the terms, and limited exchanges of fire. I will profit anyway on Polymarket and by shorting Bitcoin.
Similar to the 2025 tariffs, in which there were many countries and overlapping deals or duties in various stages of negotiations, it’s hard to keep track of the overlapping agreements and ceasefires, which I predicted on April 10th in the post, “Diplomacy by Delay,” which was spot on. Consequently, as I predicted, the public and the stock market has moved on.