In this post, drawing upon simple math and intuition, I will show why social distancing does not work in regard to limiting the infection of the corona virus, or its efficacy is vastly overstated. In preface, social distancing is distinct from quarantine. In the latter,…
Gates is off the mark here The job of the the President in crisis is to reassure the public, and that means being unfailingly optimistic. The last thing you are going to hear Trump say is “things are worse than expected,” at least not in…
The market’s reaction to the spread of the virus is worse than I expected. The S&P 500 plunged 7% on Monday, in addition to large loses on last Friday and Thursday. It is now 18% off the highs. At once point overnight on Monday it…
It’s not so much that libertarianism is about unilaterally abolishing the government and letting companies and individuals do whatever they they so please, but rather it’s more like a conceptual framework for resolving disagreement and conflict when economic agents are either unable to choose not…
Lion and Jim are in agreement that the Coronavirus is a very serious problem. Of course, it is serious, but they are subscribing to the claim purported by experts that the morality rate is 2-4% and that it will kill millions of people unless drastic…
From quillette Dealing With a Once-In-A-Century Pathogen In 2018, Gates made another warning. Noting that people can now travel across the globe in a matter of hours, he said that a pathogen similar to SARS could kill 30 million people in six months. A…
In regard to Super Tuesday, If I had to wager, Trump will likely be reelected regardless of who the nominee is, but I cannot put a specific probability on it. I cannot say it will be a blowout. It could be like 2016 in which…
From Vox Day’s blog Extremists vs moderates The reality is that every successful movement requires both its extremists and its moderates. See Sinn Fein and the Irish Republican Army, or the Palestine Zionist Executive and the Irgun. In this case, the core problem that the…