Market update Fed edition

Time for a market update 1. The fed raised interest rates yesterday, as expected. I am very optimistic about the stock market going forward. I’m expecting new highs this year despite the recent selling due to Ukraine. 2. Right now, real interest rates are the lowest ever, at around negative 6-8%. This is hugely negative,… Continue reading Market update Fed edition

Tooleb still shilling for the left on Ukraine-Russia

Another angry Arab man post: A reminder that Greenwald is a fraud.In Russia ~15,000 protesters have been detained at rallies (wsj). In the West, Zero.But @ggreenwald plays w/misunderstanding of statistical effects/scale. Below, it is private voices, NOT THE GOVERNMENT, are stupidly calling for detention. https://t.co/PZFLI7u7ac — Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) March 15, 2022 So now… Continue reading Tooleb still shilling for the left on Ukraine-Russia

Calling Out Taleb and the Media for Russian Misinformation

Seems like things are going in slow motion. This is like the O.J. chase equivalent of war. Putin is smart to drag this out longer than necessary. The media’s expectation is that Putin would advance fast, but prolonging the invasion and keeping causalities and damage to a minimum means the media may lose interest, and… Continue reading Calling Out Taleb and the Media for Russian Misinformation

Mid-year forecasts/predictions

So much has happened since the start of 2022 that it’s time for a mid-year prediction and recap post: 1. The Ukraine situation will suddenly and seemingly inexplicably resolve, although I don’t know what that entails or how it will transpire. But it will not be nuclear war, world war, or anything like that. It… Continue reading Mid-year forecasts/predictions

Why the American Empire Will Continue: Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order by Ray Dalio

Came upon this interesting Ray Dalio video, in which he discusses the cyclical nature of empires. (starting at 26:00 it gets more interesting because he discusses how empires decline, which is relevant to the US) The video alludes to America being in the final stage of its empire, that being the decline. He does not… Continue reading Why the American Empire Will Continue: Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order by Ray Dalio

another correct prediction (Elon Musk)

For 2022 I predicted that Elon Musk’s brand/popularity would continue to grow. Although it’s hard to quantify this, with the Ukraine crisis unfolding Elon Musk yet again thrust himself into the media spotlight by having Space-X provide internet access to Ukraine via Starlink satellites. This was a huge deal, generating major media coverage everywhere. Tweets… Continue reading another correct prediction (Elon Musk)