Taleb is wrong about IQ and creativity

An article from 2007 by Nassim Taleb recently came to my attention You Can’t Predict Who Will Change The World. Just going by the title of the article, he is wrong. Although anyone can change the world, by in large, it is high IQ people…

Are prisons a “good deal?” Possibly

Things are still kinda slow lately but PredictIt is still giving Trump a 43% chance of being impeached by the end of 2019 and a 77% chance by the end of his first term, which, imho, are absurdly high probabilities. The impeachment inquiry, as I…

Why debates are pointless

There has been a ton of controversy lately online regarding right-wing provocateur Nick Fuentes’ rebuttal of Ben Shapiro. Mr Fuentes is not wrong but i wish he hadn’t done this. All it will accomplish it will accomplish is make both sides dig their heels deeper…

How much of the millennial and gen-z job crisis is self-inflicted?

All over the internet, on high-IQ and ‘smart’ communities such as on Reddit, in particular, but also in ‘think pieces’ on Vox and other publications, there are are plethora of stories about college-educated millennials and gen-z being unable to find gainful employment and enter the…

Fuentes’ Groypers

Things have been pretty slow lately, especially on the blog-front. If there is one thing Trump has accomplished, he has sorta unleashed a collective writer’s block on the dozen or so blogs and websites I follow, which has gotten worse over the past year especially….

Mediocrity for all, and the necessity of realism-based education policy

The Quilette article Mediocrity for All! makes some good points about the diluting of America’s education system and lowering of standards In subsequent decades, it became clear that academic greatness is not what generous dollops of self-esteem promote. In 1963, the liminal margin of America‚Äôs…

update: Trump and Stock Market

  Last week the S&P 500 decisively broke above its 3030 resistance, as I correctly predicted multiple times this year that it would: Just another example of this blog being right, whether it’s about tariffs, the economy, Trump, trade wars, etc. Still predicting 13% annual…

The Population Crisis

Spandrall put out this interesting post THOSE WHO SHOW UP about the risks posed by falling birthrates, and possible solutions and outcomes. That was 2013 though, and a lot has happened since. Most of it bad. Some good things too: Russia grew a spine, annexed…

Investing for the ‘Singularity’

Many pundits online, either on the dissident-left or the dissent-right, but also many centrists and moderates, too, predict increasing upheaval and societal change. They predict that Trump, the rise of populism and increasingly partisan politics, or the rejection of globalization, will change the status quo…