Trump speech brief analysis

President Donald Trump Just Delivered His First State of the Union. Read The Full Transcript Overall, not surprisingly, it was one of those we-must-spend-more-money-on-stuff speeches. It was good in terms of exceeding expectations, demonstrating leadership qualities on Trump’s part, and signaling to voters. I would…

The LessWrong Crypto Autopsy

A LessWrong Crypto Autopsy According to the recent SSC survey, 9% of SSC readers made $1000+ from crypto as of 12/2017. Among people who were referred to SSC from Less Wrong – my stand-in for long-time LW regulars – 15% made over $1000 on crypto,…

Notes on writing advice: longer is better

For unknown reasons, articles about writing frequently viral on Hacker News and other smart sites despite having nothing to do with computers or science. Here are two recent examples: The “Rules” of Writing Advice For Aspiring Writers Related to the wealth-individualism-intellectualism synthesis, writing combines individualism…

Sam Harris’ takedown of Nassim Taleb

Sam Harris’ takedown of Nassim Taleb is hilarious and true: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eZmAmok5M3s&feature=youtu.be&t=48m51s I don’t agree with Sam Harris on everything, although I agree with him about Islam being a threat to western civilization, about the perniciousness of SJWs and political correctness, about some aspects of ‘materialist…

Conflict vs. Mistake Theorists (analysis)

Excellent post by Scott CONFLICT VS. MISTAKE. Here is the gist: Mistake theorists treat politics as science, engineering, or medicine. The State is diseased. We’re all doctors, standing around arguing over the best diagnosis and cure. Some of us have good ideas, others have bad…

Bad Bitcoin Analysts

When operant conditioning fails: The stock market has smoother and more consistent returns returns because it’s linked to something that is concrete and consistent: the health and dominance of the U.S. economy and multinational firms–but Bitcoin has no such anchoring. It’s tied to sentiment, combined…

Jordan Peterson won’t debate the alt-right

P-p-p-Peterson won’t d-d-d-bate millennial woes-oes-oes-oes. Woes offered $500 for a debate, but Peterson didn’t respond, and then on Twitter Peterson continued to take potshots at the alt-right, and Woes was correct to point out such arguments are infantile, if not unbecoming, for someone who is…

Rise of Jordan Peterson mirrors the decline of alt-right

The post-2017 meteoric rise of Jordan Paterson and Quillette mirrors the fall/irrelevance of Milo, Spencer, Lauren Southern, and the rest of the alt-right. The funny thing is, when Trump won everyone thought that the alt-right would become even more powerful than it already was, but…

Rules for rationalism

–Beliefs may be true or false. If the latter, they are delusions. –One may either knowingly or unknowingly subscribe to delusions. The former may leads to cognitive dissonance. There is an internal conflict between two ‘avatars’ that represent differing beliefs, that are at war with…