Category: Uncategorized

Kaboom! Bitcoin crashes below $30k like I said it would. From the post last week, “[Bitcoin is recovering a bit, at $30k, but it’s gonna drop as always.]”. Sure enough, now at 29k: Of course, it has a long way to go until $15k, but it will get there soon enough. There is no possible… Continue reading kaboom…Bitcoin crash, $20k coming up?

I saw this going viral over the weekend: A Tiny Number of Shoplifters Commit Thousands of New York City Thefts. A relatively small number of repeat offenders collectively steal the most: Nearly a third of all shoplifting arrests in New York City last year involved just 327 people, the police said. Collectively, they were arrested… Continue reading Shoplifting is out of control in NYC

This is a good article, Stuff I still don’t get about AI, agree: And if we stick with the climate change analogy for a second, how worried should we be about polarisation? How likely is it that caring about AI risk gets thought of as a left-wing thing, or becomes associated with some other political… Continue reading AI risk as rebranded climate change

Meta keeps going up, now at $220, on its way back to $370 (disclose: author and subsidiary owns FBL, an ETF that offers 1.5x leveraged exposure to Meta). Here is the chart from earlier, from the post on March 1st, 2023, Update: Meta stock keeps going up, $350 soon, at $177: And the chart now:… Continue reading The Future is Meta , Alphabet and Advertising–not GPT, Open AI, or Crypto/Blockchain

Richard Hanania argues that DeSantis’ abortion ban hurts his prospects for a general election: With Ron DeSantis about to sign a six-week abortion ban and sink his chances of winning a general election, it’s useful to think a bit about why this issue has been such a loser for Republicans. The degree to which this… Continue reading Abortion Does Not Hurt DeSantis, and Why DeSantis is the Perfect GOP Frontrunner

The statue of limitations is one of the most commonly confused or misunderstood legal concepts, especially online. The reasoning is as follows, “If someone is not convicted of a crime in x-number of years, which is the statute of limitations, they will have gotten away with it.” We’re assuming crimes which have limitations, unlike murder,… Continue reading The Statute of Limitations– a commonly misunderstood concept

From Freddie deBoer The Almond Butter Test: Consciousness is the product of 4 billion years of evolution, which is one of the most powerful forces in the known universe. Consciousness is literally embodied, found in organic beings, carbon forms that maintain homeostasis. We assume consciousness is the product of the brain, but we don’t really… Continue reading AI, Consciousness, and Audience Capture

Twitter blocks Substack links. There has been an ongoing spat between Elon Musk and Substack. Matt Taibbi, who along with others was given exclusive access to the ‘Twitter Files’, has quit Twitter over Substack links being censored. [Right now though, I am able to share Substack links on Twitter without any problems, nor am I… Continue reading Elon Musk in a Bind over Substack

Here are some possible scenarios for the ‘AI winter’: 1. GPUs are regulated. Or an AI mortarium. This is the solution Eliezer Yudkowsky advocates. The likelihood of this happening is really slim. Good luck getting Congress to ever agree to such a thing, given that four years later TikTok has still not been banned despite… Continue reading The AI Winter: some possible scenarios

Interesting Richard Hanania article, How to Be an Intellectual and Writing for the Public. Its not that surprising his blog is a major success despite some of his views being contradictory or at odds with some of his more partisan readers. Intentionally or not, his views optimize for traffic and virality by being shared by… Continue reading Socially Optimized Positions, Authenticity, and Weirdness