Author: smartistone

Item #1: “A positive-sum outlook on the World.” I usually agree with him but disagree here: All the best people have an incredibly positive-sum outlook on the world. They help other people to achieve more, do better, find love, and so on. And their lives are enriched by it. — Crémieux (@cremieuxrecueil) December 6, 2025… Continue reading The Daily View 12/8/2025: Positivity, AI vs. Math, Bitcoin vs. QQQ, Undigested Calories

I saw this going viral from Reason, “Why Are 38 Percent of Stanford Students Saying They’re Disabled?” This follows an even more viral article from The Atlantic, “Accommodation Nation,” by Rose Horowitch, who broke the story. I have never seen anything this viral in a long time, even eclipsing major AI product rollouts, for a… Continue reading Why the College Accommodations Debate Has No Easy Answers

As someone interested in true crime, this story is fascinating: Jan 6th pipe bomber arrested. This concludes a five year investigation. Some are arguing that the Biden administration suppressed the investigation. I disagree. There was so little evidence to go on. To gather sufficient evidence to ensure a ~100% conviction rate, as typical for the… Continue reading Jan 6th pipe bomber suspect arrested: analysis

In October 2023 there was a popular media narrative that GLP-1 drugs, namely Ozempic and Zepbound/Mounjaro, would severely hurt the sales of McDonald’s and Walmart, with alarmist headlines such as “Ozempic, Wegovy dampening food sales, Walmart exec says“. I took the opposite side, arguing such fears were overblown, here and here. Two years later, the… Continue reading Update on weight-loss drug predictions: right again

Item #1: Bitcoin dies as ‘Crypto President’ narrative turns into disillusionment. From the WSJ: It Was Supposed to Be Crypto’s Year. Then Came the Crash. And as Paul Krugman also noted, the Trump trade is unraveling. Today Bitcoin is still crashing this morning, down 7% while the market is flat or only down a little.… Continue reading The Daily View 12/1/2025: Bitcoin collapse, AI bubble, Weight Loss Challenge

Yet another tweet going viral about ‘repeat violent offenders’: ELON: REPEAT VIOLENT OFFENDERS NEED TO BE INCARCERATED “We do have a serious issue in America, where repeat violent offenders need to be incarcerated. You've got cases where somebody's been arrested 47 times. That's just the number of times they were arrested, not the number… https://t.co/F0Dbi01tzS… Continue reading It’s time to treat serious ‘state crimes’ as federal crimes

I saw this tweet going viral We had a generational mandate. Trump chose to squander it on foreign policy. And he hasn't even solved anything. These conflicts could erupt any moment, or during his impeachment trials after Democrats win the midterms. — Cernovich (@Cernovich) November 24, 2025 This is what I mean when I say,… Continue reading No one has any power

On Sunday, Charles Murray tweeted about Nick Fuentes’ livestream: Add another 35 minutes onto my Fuentes Exposure. Reactions:1. From the beginning through 07:40, I agreed with everything he said, which explains Fuentes' popularity: Many of the problems he excoriates are real.2. Starting at 7:40, the indictment became indiscriminate. The… https://t.co/lOF9fkocMx — Charles Murray (@charlesmurray) November… Continue reading A Heuristic for Preventing Information Overload

In 2021, I published “Characteristics of Good and Bad Opinions”. And in 2019, “On Having Good Opinions (deconstructing Joe Rogan’s success)“. I updated the first post significantly for 2025. It’s one of the longest posts here—at over 7,200 words—owing to the broad nature of the topic: What separates good opinions from bad opinions in the… Continue reading Organic virality vs. astroturfing

The Bitcoin collapse continues, plunging to $80k–a nearly 38% decline from the highs. As I am fond of saying, it looks like I was right again. This guy’s tweet echoes what I have been saying: Get Trump to attend a Bitcoin conference. Promise a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. After becoming president, launch a Trump memecoin instead.… Continue reading Bitcoin’s collapse continues…