Vox Day writes:
The SJWs and cuckservatives celebrate diversity, but what they are also celebrating is poverty. America’s living standards have fallen considerably since 1973, but no one realizes it yet because the combination of technological advancement and debt-spending conceals that fact. But it gradually becomes obvious, as Americans become increasingly unable to afford houses or even college educations.
In that last line, Vox is sounding like Bernie Sanders. Maybe the political spectrum is actually a loop – with both extremes meeting on the opposite side, as the ideological left and right move in their respective directions tangentially along the edge of the loop. The far-right and the far-left are both critical of free markets, for example.
It’s easy to complain, but explanations and solutions are harder to come by.
In regard to healthcare and education costs, out-of-pocket costs are falling despite sticker prices rising. From the AEI:
But the chart above shows what might be the two most important reasons for rising healthcare costs over the last 50 years: a) declining out-of-pocket payments for medical expenses, which have fallen from 47 percent of total health spending in 1960 to a record low of only 11.9 percent in 2008, and b) expanding public funding of healthcare, which reached a record high of 47.3 percent in 2008. There’s now been a complete reversal—whereas consumers paid 47 percent of total medical costs in 1960, it’s now the government paying 47 percent of health spending, while consumers pay less than 12 percent out of pocket for healthcare. That reversal is a guaranteed prescription for rising healthcare expenditures.
The Emergency Medical Treatment and Active Labor_Act of 1986, which requires hospitals treat everyone regardless of citizen status or ability to pay, is a contributing factor, costing over $40 billion a year in unpaid hospital visits. That is the ‘universal healthcare’ the left says America is missing.
So while prices are rising, the costs are shifted from consumers and onto tax payers and employers. This is the reality the media and ideologues like Bernie Sanders ignore.
There is so much financial aid, as well as employer healthcare and other subsidies that substantially reduce out-of-pocket costs for healthcare and college, that the sticker price is seldom paid in full. I’ve never heard of anyone who couldn’t go to college simply because they didn’t have the money. However, higher education does need reform at both the student level (for students to stop majoring use low-ROI subjects) and societal (political correctness and lawyers being the driving force behind credentialism, as well as financial aid boosting prices).
The full sticker price is seldom paid. According to the article, only 1/3rd of private university student pay the full sticker price, and the most attractive students get the best aid packages. Tuition is only growing at 2-4% a year, which is anywhere from 0-2% greater than the CPI inflation, after adjusting for a myriad of subsidies, grants, and other financial aid.
Between 2006-07 and 2011-12, average published tuition and fees at public four-year colleges and universities increased by about $1,800 in 2011 dollars, an annual rate of growth of 5.1% beyond inflation. The average net tuition and fees in-state students pay after taking grant aid from all sources and federal education tax credits and deductions into consideration increased by about $170 in 2011 dollars, an annual rate of growth of 1.4% beyond inflation.
Average published tuition and fees at private nonprofit four-year colleges and universities are about $3,730 higher (in 2011 dollars) in 2011-12 than they were in 2006-07, but the average net tuition paid by full-time students in this sector declined by $550 in inflation-adjusted dollars over this five-year period.
Again, the liberals who complain about tuition ignore the role of financial aid and other grants.
Living standards have risen. Look at the technologies available today that didn’t exist decade ago, technologies that offer much more utility than in the past.
Homes prices and rent are expensive in some areas; much less so in others. It all depends on location, although as I earlier, rising rent is possibly forcing young people to live with their parents longer than normal.
The post-2008 tech boom, rich foreigners, scarcity, and private equity are contributing factors for the surge in home & rent prices in regions such Seattle and San Francisco. In the Northern California region, there are cheaper homes further north and east, but the commute is much longer and the homes aren’t as nice. But other regions, particularly the Midwest such as Utah, have seen prices stagnate.
NIMBYism is a contributing factor, as the restrictions and regulations to build new housing can be insurmountable. Before a low-income-housing tax credit (LIHTC) can even be evaluated, the state requires a vote by the legislative body in the county where the development is planned.
From Algezeera: Who gets to live where?: The battle over affordable housing
The credit seems like a straightforward way to help finance new apartments in wealthy neighborhoods that even struggling families can afford. But states are in charge of allocating the credits, and fair-housing advocates say states often undermine the credits’ potential to create integrated neighborhoods by favoring developments in high-poverty, racially homogeneous areas at the expense of developments in “communities of opportunity.” In addition, local opposition often jeopardizes developments in affluent areas, as is the case in Anne Arundel County
Although, I can understand the perspective of home owners who don’t want low-income dwellings in close proximity to their nice neighborhoods.
A recent paper by the New York Fed, The Impact of Building Restrictions on HousingAffordability, discuses whether the affordable housing problem is due to external supply and demand factors or because of construction costs. If home prices do not substantially deviate from construction costs, then efforts to make housing more affordable by boosting housing supply are likely to fail, since the lower-bound (construction costs) has been hit.
From the paper:
To get a better sense of the distribution of housing prices
throughout the United States, we turn to the American
Housing Survey (AHS), but for a quick look at the affordability
issue, it is useful to examine the 2000 U.S. census. The census
indicates that the self-reported median home value is
Sixty-three percent of single-family detached homes
in America are valued at less than $150,000. Seventy-eight
percent of these homes are valued at less than $200,000. The
American Housing Survey reports that the median size of a
detached owned home is 1,704 square feet. The construction
costs of an average home imply that this home should cost
about $127,500 to build, with a lower quality economy home
costing $102,000 to construct.
Together, these numbers provide us with the first important
lesson from housing markets. The majority of homes in this
country are priced—even in the midst of a so-called housing
affordability crisis—close to construction costs. The value of
land generally seems modest, probably 20 percent or less of the
value of the house. To us, this means that America as a whole
may have a poverty crisis, but its housing prices are basically
being tied down by the cost of new construction.
High prices in some regions could be due to zoning costs inhibiting construction of new homes
Our alternative view is that homes are expensive in high cost
areas primarily because of government regulation, that is,
zoning and other restrictions on building. According to this
view, housing is expensive because of artificial limits on
construction created by the regulation of new housing. It
argues that there is plenty of land in high-cost areas, and in
principle new construction might be able to push the cost of
houses down to physical construction costs
The paper concludes:
Measures of zoning strictness are highly
correlated with high prices. Although all of our evidence is
suggestive, not definitive, it seems to suggest that this form of
government regulation is responsible for high housing costs
where they exist.
For renters, the Fair Housing Act may be another factor. A 2015 Supreme Court decision in Texas Department of Housing v. Inclusive Communities Project held that disparate impact claims are cognizable under the Fair Housing Act, even if there is no intention of discrimination. The United States Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) uses the legal theory of “disparate impact” to determine violations of the Fair Housing Act, even in the absence of discriminatory intent.
Frum the Wall St. Journal:
Last week’s Supreme Court decision in Texas Department of Housing v. Inclusive Communities Project also could compound disparities in the name of reducing them. The case concerned federal housing law, but its impact will be felt in countless other areas. The Fair Housing Act of 1968 makes it unlawful “to refuse to sell or rent . . . or otherwise make unavailable or deny a dwelling to any person because of race, color, religion, sex, familial status, or national origin.” As Congress wrote the law, a plaintiff must show that there was intent to discriminate.
The text of a housing law clearly written to punish only intentional discrimination can be rewritten by judges to punish practices that have a disproportionate impact on a favored group, even when there was no intention to discriminate.
Justice Samuel Alito explains in his dissent how disparate-impact analysis backfires:
As Justice Samuel Alito explained in his dissent, proponents of disparate-impact analysis often harm the very low-income minorities they are trying to help. When St. Paul, Minn., tried to crack down on slumlords by ordering the cleanup and repair of rat-infested housing units with inadequate heat and sanitation facilities, it was slapped with a disparate-impact claim under the Fair Housing Act. Even though there was no evidence of discriminatory intent, the improvements increased the cost of rent, which disproportionately impacted minority tenants. “The upshot,” wrote Justice Alito, “was that even St. Paul’s good-faith attempt to ensure minimally acceptable housing for its poorest residents could not ward off a disparate-impact lawsuit.”
Disparate impact litigation is not only a contributing factor to credentialism and the weak labor market, – but also increased rent, since landlords pass the insurance and legal costs to the renter. For example, the threat disparate impact litigation makes it very difficult for renters to negotiate lower prices because if a minority pays the regular price and sees this discrepancy, he has possible grounds to sue.
But like all too many social science problems, there are no definite causes or solutions.