Month: January 2023

Interesting article by Rob Henderson, Nobody is a Prisoner of Their IQ. Much of this article boils down to the argument that because some high-IQ people make worse life choices than low/average-IQ people, that somehow this can be enough to overcome the disadvantage of not being smart. Or that because of luck and or not… Continue reading Nobody is a Prisoner of Their IQ, But IQ Still Matters

Illustration: how tech imbeciles fail to get the arrow of time.1) You don't judge lockdowns by TODAY'S information but by what we knew THEN, w/no testing,no vaccines no grasp of disease/treatment.2) Preventive Measures look superfluous EX POST, like airport security checks. https://t.co/SpPz1yAsKQ — Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) January 7, 2023 Health authorities and experts kept… Continue reading Health authorities and experts have no skin in the game

I think the ‘liberal media’ vs ‘conservative media’ dichotomy is incomplete or lacking. Sure, it’s a more accurate heuristic than not, and explains how CNN and Fox differ in coverage of major events, such as Covid or the 2020 Black Lives Matters protests, which fell along predictable party lines. CNN tended to downplay the protests… Continue reading From one ‘current thing’ to the next

1. META stock is surging like I said it would, now at $137. It’s going back to $350 soon, maybe in a few years. Four months ago the experts had written it off, and then it suddenly surged from $90 to almost $140 like nothing. The gains will hold. META makes so much money from… Continue reading The daily view: 1/12/2023

Without fail pundits are trotting out their proclamations about how AI will make {fill in the blank} job obsolete. This year it’s OpenAI. Last year it was DALL·E that was supposed to make artists obsolete. Even as far back as a decade ago, AI was predicted to make lawyers obsolete, among other professions: Armies of… Continue reading Fears of job loss due to AI are probably overblown

Saw this going viral a few days ago America needs carpenters and plumbers. Gen Z doesn’t seem interested Gen-z is smart enough to know where the money is at. Either it’s on social media (which offers a small chance to earn a ton, such as Instagram reels) or with white-collar jobs (which offers consistent, large… Continue reading Little surprise that gen-Z is avoiding low-skilled jobs, the trades

The SBF trial is set for October 2023. I think this is too long and it should be sooner. If the evidence exists to convict, then why delay so long? But this hardly constitutes a get-out-of-jail card. If anything, I would think he would want to get it over with than have to delay the… Continue reading SBF getting bail is not a ‘good deal’

Belated 2023 predictions: Prediction 1: Turkish stock market and ETF (ticker symbol: TUR) will crash in 2023. So will the Turkish lira (USDTRY). I forgot to add this in my original post. Turkey has the same problems that have plagued it from 2013-2021, such as brain drain, low IQs, lack of foreign investment, hyperinflation, incompetent… Continue reading Revising some predictions, belated 2023 predictions

In this post I will expand on why the dissident/alt-right crashed so hard, especially since 2020, and was unable to get back up, and likely never will. Social movements come and go in waves. Richard Spencer for example used to be a major thought leader; not so much anymore. Same for a bunch of other… Continue reading The post-2020 downfall of the alt-right: some explanations

Richard Hanania wrote a good post about how the Right, since 2020, has succumbed to the same sort of victimization-culture and pearl clutching as seen on the Left. Neither side is immune to being easily offended. It’s just that the left gets offended by different things compared to the right. He writes: Moreover, talking about… Continue reading How victimization and cheap political point-scoring hurt the right