There is some buzz over superforrcasting and superforecasters, related to a 2015 book by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner about superforecasters – people with an above average ability to forecast events and outcomes. Blurb from Wikipedia: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is a book by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner released… Continue reading How to be a Superforecaster
Month: December 2015
Investing Recap for 2015: What worked and what didn’t
Time for an end year assessment of various investments and prognostications: The good: Consumer discretionary and large cap tech ETFs post large gains in an otherwise flat market, as I predicted. Emerging markets, energy, and commodity stocks fall, also agreement with my predictions. Web 2.0 valuations surge, with notable examples being Snapchat, Uber, and Air… Continue reading Investing Recap for 2015: What worked and what didn’t
Against the Ubermensch
In the past year or so, we’re seeing a re-branding or transformation of NRx…less Nietzsche’s ubermensch as embodied by John Galt (and the Californian ideology) and more like Oswald Spengler or Pat Buchanan. Maybe the old, pre-2014 NRx may have put too much emphasis on capitalism, individualism, and technology and not enough on culture and… Continue reading Against the Ubermensch
David Gelernter on Millennials and the State of Higher Education
From Isegoria America-Lite: I’m a teacher of college students. I’m lucky to be at one of the best colleges in the world, at Yale. Our students are as smart as any in the world. They work very hard to get here. They are eager, they’re likable. My generation is getting a chip on its shoulder,… Continue reading David Gelernter on Millennials and the State of Higher Education