The news cycle is moving so fast. Just 2 days ago, the big story was riots and the plane crash. Now it’s Israel’s airstrikes on Iran. This is being framed as Israel thwarting Trump’s attempts at peace talks or even as the prelude to world war. But strategic airstrikes of military or nuclear targets is… Continue reading Israel strikes Iran, again
Muted Inflation , Stocks Surge, and the Rise of Elon Musk
It looks like I was right again on multiple counts. First, I predicted that stocks would quickly recover from tariff-related losses and to buy the dips. Indeed, the Nasdaq has recovered all its losses and is within striking distance of a new high: Second, I was right about inflation being muted despite the hype about… Continue reading Muted Inflation , Stocks Surge, and the Rise of Elon Musk
The obesity trap, and common misconceptions about obesity
I saw this article going viral a few days ago Being fat is a trap. It generated 350 comments in under a day, which is a lot. Given that 75% of Americans are obese or overweight, it’s understandable that there is considerable interest in this topic. The funny thing about dieting advice is it’s always… Continue reading The obesity trap, and common misconceptions about obesity
From ‘DOGE hero’ to zero…
I looks like I was right again. A few days ago, I wrote that Elon had ulterior motives and was only feigning concern over the national debt and spending in regard to his opposition to Trump’s ‘big beautiful bill’. I said: Elon dug up some 2011-2012 tweets about how Trump used to be a fiscal… Continue reading From ‘DOGE hero’ to zero…
Bitcoin crashes and Elon and Trump lock horns over debt, spending bill
Last week I wrote: Item 2#: Bitcoin falls below $104K. I was also right about Bitcoin lagging stocks, as it has done for the past few weeks. I have greatly profited by shorting Bitcoin while being long tech stocks. My account balances keep making new highs on a daily or weekly basis due to the… Continue reading Bitcoin crashes and Elon and Trump lock horns over debt, spending bill
AI has revealed the modern liberal arts education for a farce
AI has basically revealed modern college education for the careerist farce it is, in particular the humanities, where cheating is especially prevalent and hard to prevent. It’s not even an open secret anymore that the only thing that matters is the credential, not the learning. A solution, albeit a long shot, is to make it… Continue reading AI has revealed the modern liberal arts education for a farce
Brian Chau: America vs. China (Crime edition)
Brian Chau contrasts the relative peacefulness of China to what he perceives as the lawlessness of America: I’m radicalized by how much of the daily problems Americans have could be solved by just two things: building housing and arresting criminals. Do those two things in American cities and no place in the world could ever… Continue reading Brian Chau: America vs. China (Crime edition)
The Daily View 5/30/2025 : TACO trade, Bitcoin still sucks, AI and jobs, NYTs Musk hit piece
Item 1#: The ‘TACO Trade’ is now a meme: ‘Trump always chickens out’ trade is the talk of Wall Street. The TACO meme describes the unfailing patten of Trump backing down when encountering resistance to his proposals, or is stopped by courts. This makes buying the dip on any Trump-related selling in the stock market… Continue reading The Daily View 5/30/2025 : TACO trade, Bitcoin still sucks, AI and jobs, NYTs Musk hit piece
Trump’s ‘War on Harvard’ will not lead to lasting reforms
Raskin: Trump looking to ‘exact vengeance’ on Harvard with foreign student block: “Harvard has turned into a hotbed for anti-American, anti-Semitic, pro-terrorist agitators that put American students at risk,” she continued. “They’ve repeatedly failed to address the serious issues plaguing their campus, despite warnings, and now they’re facing the consequences.” DHS Secretary Kristi Noem, when… Continue reading Trump’s ‘War on Harvard’ will not lead to lasting reforms
AI cheating and fatalism
A recurring theme I have observed in rationalism-type communities is a sort of moralistic fatalism or nihilism in regard to AI cheating, particularly in the context of the classroom or college, which is that cheating is good or justified, and futile or hopeless to stop. Colleges must accept that cheating is the norm, or that… Continue reading AI cheating and fatalism