Month: March 2022

It’s remarkable but not that surprising (to me at least, given that I predicted it) that the Ukraine situation has decelerated from 60 to 0. It’s still ongoing, but fell way short of the doom and gloom forecasts a month ago. A month ago were being told to prepare for nuclear war. I am not… Continue reading The Ukraine Rollup , media fails again

It looks like I was right again, although wrong once: I was wrong about Putin not invading Ukraine. But I was right about the war being self-contained, not being as bad as feared, and the stock market making a sudden and V-shaped recovery, which it did last week and this week. Even though the situation… Continue reading Ukraine-Russia Update

Vox Day blames Taylor Hawkins’ sudden death on the Covid Vaccine: I suspect there are going to be a lot of deaths attributed to overdoses and other factors that are actually the result of a heart weakened by the Covid vaccinations. Given the unreliability of the medical community, the only reliable statistic will be the… Continue reading Taylor Hawkins dies

A common argument against the existence of conspiracy theories is that large groups of people are unable to keep secrets, so the existence of the conspiracy will inevitably leak to the public. How can thousands of people be involved in a moon landing hoax, UFOs, or 9/11, and not have at least one of them… Continue reading It is possible for large groups of people to keep secrets for a long time

Over the past week there has been considerable discussion about cancel culture and free speech. But some of the analysis possibly misdiagnoses the problem. Much of the media attention and hype focuses on academic censorship or social media censorship, but–news flash–censorship is everywhere where there are humans and a scarcity of the most valuable resource… Continue reading The Debate over Cancel Culture: Some Thoughts

The following Sam Altman tweets about college went hugely viral over the weekend: Most of all, it's clearly a bad deal for many students, or we wouldn't have the student debt crisis. Cancelling student debt is good if it's tied to fixing the problem going forward, which means not offering it, or having the colleges… Continue reading Sam Altman and College: Why the Bubble Refuses to Pop

From Cernovich People assume because I used to look like a model, and remain handsome for my age, that I can’t bring the heat. In fact physical health is a sign of high IQ. The brain is organic matter, after all. I would like to invite Noah to run hill sprints with me. ❤️❤️❤️ https://t.co/e6SLgWmfRT… Continue reading Not that smart

I waw this blog post by “Applied Divinity Studies” On Being a Loser, or Should you Start a Blog? He writes: Having said that, the problem is not even you’ll be unsuccessful and waste a bit of time. It’s that you’ll be moderately successful and waste a ton of time. The US median income is… Continue reading Losers, IQ, and the Lottery of Success

Time for a market update 1. The fed raised interest rates yesterday, as expected. I am very optimistic about the stock market going forward. I’m expecting new highs this year despite the recent selling due to Ukraine. 2. Right now, real interest rates are the lowest ever, at around negative 6-8%. This is hugely negative,… Continue reading Market update Fed edition

A trite, common but useless piece of advice is that to be successful you need to stop caring what other people think. This wrong for a few reasons: 1. People who are successful at life are able to get a lot of people to go along with them. Seldom is anyone successful and completely on… Continue reading Why you should (and need to care) what other people think of you