Month: June 2021

Education Week: Educational Assessments are Valid, Reliable, and Remarkably Predictive To put it simply: liberal skepticism towards educational assessment is totally unjustifiable through reference to the evidence. Liberals speak with utter confidence about the supposed lack of predictive validity of these instruments but present no evidence whatsoever to back up these claims. They constantly repeat… Continue reading Fighting the Entropy of Status

It’s not news that Americans are increasingly divided along party lines. Democrats and republicans may as well be entirely different species, let alone disagreeing on issues. But why is this? 538 notes that there is is very little crossover support between parties, meaning that republicans and democrats more strongly than ever disapprove of their respective… Continue reading Are Lopsided Elections the Solution to Political Polarization in the U.S.?

A few days ago, John McAfee’s lifeless body was found hanging from the rafters of his prison cell. This prompted considerable speculation online, similar to Epstein, that he was killed. Eric Weinstein yesterday was also pushing the Epstein-McAfee conspiracy theory. Given Eric’s dubious credibility, such as hyping a ‘theory of everything’ which for almost a… Continue reading What happend with John McAfee

The article You Can’t Censor Away Extremism (or Any Other Problem) went hugely viral. He writes: Germany has arguably the most aggressive anti-hate speech etc. laws in the world, or at least outside of those authoritarian countries that already significantly restrict speech in general. The concept is called Volksverhetzung, or incitement to hatred, and it… Continue reading Can Ideas Be Suppressed? Probably

Vox Day for the past month has been ranting especially hard about ‘the boomers’. His disdain for the boomers seems sorta misplaced given that America was already well on its trajectory of its current cultural demise at least a decade before the boomers came of age. Perhaps because the generation that preceded the boomers–the silent… Continue reading Vox Day Ranting About The Boomers

I came across this My Final Case Against Superforecasting Although the post is a year old and a lot has transpired regarding Covid since, it’s still interesting and relevant. The author argues that superforecasters overlook the ‘keys’ that are in the dark, only focusing on easy predictions (the keys under the streetlight): All of this… Continue reading Covid, Forecasting, and the Problem with the Precautionary Principle

Earlier I reported that Michael Saylor had purchased 11,000 BTC at 36,000. He hadn’t. Rather he raised cash and only recently purchased 13,000 more Bitcoin. So his latest update: MicroStrategy has purchased an additional 13,005 bitcoins for ~$489 million in cash at an average price of ~$37,617 per bitcoin. As of 6/21/21 we #hodl ~105,085… Continue reading Doubling Down on Stupidity

On quora there are tons of questions about what it means to be smart, to have a high IQ, etc. To try to answer this, I think it means you you arrive at the correct answer with less time and less effort than most people. You can look at the information provided and then just… Continue reading Thoughts about IQ

The Covid BioWeapon: Made in the USA, Aimed at China Ron Runz, founder of Unz.com, for the past year has been pushing a theory that Covid originated from an American lab, and that US military officials somehow deliberately infected China and the Iran leadership with Covid, and then the virus got out of control and… Continue reading Covid: Made in the USA? (Ron Unz Article)

For months Vox Day and the alternative media have been pushing a narrative that Biden and Putin hate each other, which I had suspected to be BS. But it was not just the alternative media that got this wrong, but so did purportedly ‘reputable’ sources, such as Foreign Affairs, which in early April 2021 predicted… Continue reading So Much for That, Part 4, Biden vs. Putin